Principles

Investment Philosophy

A concentrated, long-term approach that combines the acumen of a special situations hedge fund with the patience of a decade-long investor.

The institutional investment complex has become a machine for converting clarity into confusion, turning simple decisions into complex processes, and transforming potential alpha into certain fees.

We believe that running a portfolio must be a solitary activity and that diversity is the enemy of performance. Our goal is to create the most profitable and longest lasting investment firm in history — not by following the herd, but by thinking independently, acting with conviction, and allowing time to compound our advantages.

We view time as a key ally that thins out competition and compounds both capital and knowledge. The ocean doesn't care about your swimming lessons. The market doesn't care about your models. What matters is whether you can survive long enough for your convictions to be proven right.

Framework

Core Principles

01

Survive First, Prosper Second

The primary objective is capital preservation. Prosperity follows naturally from the discipline of survival. A portfolio must be built to absorb corrections, not merely to perform in favorable conditions.

02

Time Is the Contrarian's Ally

We savor the passage of time because it thins out competitors, compounds our capital, and gives us a compounding of knowledge in specific areas. Running a portfolio must be a solitary activity.

03

Buy Durable Businesses at a Discount

Focus on companies with strong balance sheets that can survive downturns. When the market prices in permanent stress on a temporary problem, that is the moment of opportunity.

04

The Micro Informs the Macro

The best macro investors deeply analyze individual companies and industries. Understanding the specific reveals the general. Patterns emerge before outcomes.

05

Fail Unconventionally

The institutional investment complex has become a machine for converting clarity into confusion. We reject the career-risk trap. It is better to succeed unconventionally than to fail conventionally.

06

The Drawer System

Compartmentalize investment research to maintain singular focus on one thesis at a time. Deep, uninterrupted focus on a single subject cultivates mastery that is impossible when attention is fragmented.

Convictions

Words to Invest By

"The ocean doesn't care about your swimming lessons, and the stock market doesn't care about this book."

— The Stock Market Doesn't Care About This Book

"Your job security depends on failing conventionally rather than succeeding unconventionally."

— The Yale Model is Dead

"We savor the passage of time, because it thins out competitors, compounds our capital, and gives us a compounding of knowledge."

— The Stock Market Doesn't Care About This Book

"When it's raining gold, wear a helmet. Be prepared. And collect a lot of gold when it starts to rain."

— Mr. Grumpy's Investing Survival Guide

"Corrections happen. They always have. The real question is whether your portfolio is built to absorb them."

— Mr. Grumpy's Investing Survival Guide

"When I wish to interrupt one occupation, I shut its drawer and open another. They do not mix."

— An Analysis of Napoleonic Principles

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Marlowe Research is a division of Marlowe Keynes LLC.